Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000219 0.000245 0.000272 0.000304 0.000340 0.000378 0.000423
2025-01-26 0.000180 0.000215 0.000254 0.000302 0.000360 0.000426 0.000509
2025-02-02 0.000161 0.000202 0.000253 0.000318 0.000399 0.000499 0.000630
2025-02-09 0.000141 0.000187 0.000245 0.000323 0.000427 0.000560 0.000743
2025-02-16 0.000126 0.000174 0.000237 0.000327 0.000452 0.000618 0.000858
2025-02-23 0.000111 0.000160 0.000228 0.000327 0.000470 0.000669 0.000968
2025-03-02 0.000098 0.000147 0.000215 0.000321 0.000479 0.000706 0.001061
2025-03-09 0.000088 0.000136 0.000207 0.000319 0.000493 0.000752 0.001170
2025-03-16 0.000080 0.000128 0.000201 0.000320 0.000509 0.000802 0.001289
2025-03-23 0.000074 0.000121 0.000196 0.000321 0.000527 0.000855 0.001418
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000114 0.000189 0.000319 0.000539 0.000898 0.001535
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000108 0.000184 0.000319 0.000554 0.000948 0.001666
2025-04-13 0.000058 0.000103 0.000181 0.000322 0.000574 0.001011 0.001829
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000097 0.000173 0.000317 0.000583 0.001054 0.001963
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000096 0.000177 0.000332 0.000627 0.001164 0.002229
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000093 0.000175 0.000337 0.000653 0.001245 0.002449
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000089 0.000172 0.000341 0.000677 0.001323 0.002671
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000085 0.000168 0.000340 0.000692 0.001386 0.002870
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000080 0.000161 0.000334 0.000696 0.001425 0.003024
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000076 0.000156 0.000332 0.000708 0.001483 0.003222
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000073 0.000153 0.000332 0.000725 0.001551 0.003449
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000070 0.000151 0.000334 0.000744 0.001626 0.003699
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000067 0.000147 0.000332 0.000755 0.001685 0.003917